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Blood, 1 September 2008, Vol. 112, No. 5, pp. 1923-1930. Prepublished online as a Blood First Edition Paper on June 24, 2008; DOI 10.1182/blood-2007-05-092882.
NEOPLASIA Relative value of ZAP-70, CD38, and immunoglobulin mutation status in predicting aggressive disease in chronic lymphocytic leukemia1 The Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia Research Consortium, La Jolla, CA; 2 Division of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego and Moores UCSD Cancer Center, La Jolla; 3 Division of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, University of California, San Diego; 4 Department of Leukemia, the University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston; 5 James Cancer Institute, Ohio State University, Columbus; 6 Department of Hematology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN; 7 Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA; 8 Barts and The London School of Medicine, London, United Kingdom; and 9 Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, NY Leukemia-cell expression of ZAP-70, CD38, or unmutated immunoglobulin heavy chain variable region genes (U-IGHV) each is associated with aggressive disease in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). To assess the relative strength of each marker, we defined thresholds for designating a case as positive for CD38 or ZAP-70 in a test cohort of 307 patients and used these data-defined criteria to stratify patients in an independent cohort of 705 patients. Multivariable analysis revealed that ZAP-70 was the strongest risk factor. Knowledge of the IGHV mutation status or CD38 did not improve our ability to predict the time to first treatment except for ZAP-70–negative cases, which could be segregated into 2 groups of intermediate-risk or low-risk disease based on whether they expressed unmutated or mutated IGHV. ZAP-70 maintained its high relative prognostic value for the subset of patients with early-stage, asymptomatic disease, including patients evaluated within 1 year of diagnosis. Although it is premature to recommend therapy based on these risk factors, patients with ZAP-70–positive CLL cells should be monitored closely for disease progression as they have a median time from diagnosis to requiring initial therapy by standard criteria of approximately 3 years.
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